Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner separated by just a few points in the low-to-mid 20s. This narrow spread sustains market equilibrium around second place, as any of the three could finish ahead or behind depending on turnout among aligned voters in Fortaleza and interior strongholds. Official party conventions have now locked in the full field, including lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, limiting late entry upside. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, modest shifts in coalition messaging or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack without altering the overall competitive structure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡皮唐·瓦格纳 51%
Luizianne 19%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 11.8%
西德·戈梅斯 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
51%
Luizianne
19%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
12%
西德·戈梅斯
11%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
6%
Lino Alves
4%
雷吉纳尔多
4%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
2%
卡皮唐·瓦格纳 51%
Luizianne 19%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛 11.8%
西德·戈梅斯 11%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格纳
$2,451 交易量
51%
Luizianne
$231 交易量
19%
吉列尔梅·特奥菲洛
$60 交易量
12%
西德·戈梅斯
$120 交易量
11%
阿尔西德斯·费尔南德斯
$122 交易量
6%
Lino Alves
$129 交易量
4%
雷吉纳尔多
$255 交易量
4%
卡塔琳娜·马托斯
$729 交易量
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner separated by just a few points in the low-to-mid 20s. This narrow spread sustains market equilibrium around second place, as any of the three could finish ahead or behind depending on turnout among aligned voters in Fortaleza and interior strongholds. Official party conventions have now locked in the full field, including lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, limiting late entry upside. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, modest shifts in coalition messaging or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack without altering the overall competitive structure.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,097结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner separated by just a few points in the low-to-mid 20s. This narrow spread sustains market equilibrium around second place, as any of the three could finish ahead or behind depending on turnout among aligned voters in Fortaleza and interior strongholds. Official party conventions have now locked in the full field, including lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, limiting late entry upside. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, modest shifts in coalition messaging or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack without altering the overall competitive structure.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$4,097结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Luizianne Lins, incumbent Cid Gomes, and Capitão Wagner separated by just a few points in the low-to-mid 20s. This narrow spread sustains market equilibrium around second place, as any of the three could finish ahead or behind depending on turnout among aligned voters in Fortaleza and interior strongholds. Official party conventions have now locked in the full field, including lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes and Guilherme Theophilo, limiting late entry upside. With the October 4 vote still weeks away, modest shifts in coalition messaging or regional mobilization could reorder the middle of the pack without altering the overall competitive structure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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