Bipartisan congressional consensus on Section 702's value for foreign intelligence collection on non-U.S. persons abroad underpins the near-certain trader pricing, reinforced by repeated past reauthorizations and current national security priorities including counterterrorism and competition with China. The 2024 RISAA extension through April 2026, followed by short-term measures amid debates over warrant requirements and FBI querying reforms, has kept the authority operational, with FISA Court certifications grandfathering collection through March 2027 even if statutory language lapses temporarily. Primary drivers include institutional pressure from intelligence agencies and leadership statements emphasizing continuity during active threats, alongside procedural momentum in the House and Senate. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include prolonged stalemates tied to unrelated confirmation fights or last-minute reform amendments that fracture support, though historical patterns and the program's entrenched role make outright failure before any final deadline improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$60,583 交易量
$60,583 交易量
2026-04-30
$60,583 交易量
$60,583 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan congressional consensus on Section 702's value for foreign intelligence collection on non-U.S. persons abroad underpins the near-certain trader pricing, reinforced by repeated past reauthorizations and current national security priorities including counterterrorism and competition with China. The 2024 RISAA extension through April 2026, followed by short-term measures amid debates over warrant requirements and FBI querying reforms, has kept the authority operational, with FISA Court certifications grandfathering collection through March 2027 even if statutory language lapses temporarily. Primary drivers include institutional pressure from intelligence agencies and leadership statements emphasizing continuity during active threats, alongside procedural momentum in the House and Senate. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include prolonged stalemates tied to unrelated confirmation fights or last-minute reform amendments that fracture support, though historical patterns and the program's entrenched role make outright failure before any final deadline improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
交易量
$60,583结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Bipartisan congressional consensus on Section 702's value for foreign intelligence collection on non-U.S. persons abroad underpins the near-certain trader pricing, reinforced by repeated past reauthorizations and current national security priorities including counterterrorism and competition with China. The 2024 RISAA extension through April 2026, followed by short-term measures amid debates over warrant requirements and FBI querying reforms, has kept the authority operational, with FISA Court certifications grandfathering collection through March 2027 even if statutory language lapses temporarily. Primary drivers include institutional pressure from intelligence agencies and leadership statements emphasizing continuity during active threats, alongside procedural momentum in the House and Senate. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include prolonged stalemates tied to unrelated confirmation fights or last-minute reform amendments that fracture support, though historical patterns and the program's entrenched role make outright failure before any final deadline improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$60,583结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Bipartisan congressional consensus on Section 702's value for foreign intelligence collection on non-U.S. persons abroad underpins the near-certain trader pricing, reinforced by repeated past reauthorizations and current national security priorities including counterterrorism and competition with China. The 2024 RISAA extension through April 2026, followed by short-term measures amid debates over warrant requirements and FBI querying reforms, has kept the authority operational, with FISA Court certifications grandfathering collection through March 2027 even if statutory language lapses temporarily. Primary drivers include institutional pressure from intelligence agencies and leadership statements emphasizing continuity during active threats, alongside procedural momentum in the House and Senate. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include prolonged stalemates tied to unrelated confirmation fights or last-minute reform amendments that fracture support, though historical patterns and the program's entrenched role make outright failure before any final deadline improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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