Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日安卡拉的最高温度?
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 24%
18℃ 16%
15°C或以下
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18℃
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C或更高
4%
20°C 40%
21°C 26%
19°C 24%
18℃ 16%
15°C或以下
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18℃
16%
19°C
24%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
5%
25°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international forecasts points to a high of 20–22°C in Ankara on September 25 under building high pressure, easterly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. A cool front and showers earlier in the week have established a downward temperature trend from mid-September peaks near 30°C, with overnight lows dropping to 8–10°C. This setup favors moderate warming during peak afternoon hours without strong solar or southerly advection. Traders have priced the highest probability on 20°C (37%), followed closely by 21°C and 19°C, reflecting tight clustering in ensemble guidance and low expected variance two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题