Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a maximum temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on April 19, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of 17°C amid lingering effects of a strong cold front that made landfall April 17, delivering heavy rain, widespread cloud cover, and cool southerly winds from the Benguela Current. These conditions suppress daytime heating well below April's climatological average of 22°C, with 14–15°C outcomes (44% combined) accounting for persistent showers or stronger winds, while 18°C+ sees lower odds due to limited ridging potential. Key variables include post-frontal clearing extent—more afternoon sun could push toward 17–18°C—and precipitation timing; monitor SAWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF model runs overnight for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
16°C 33%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
12°C or below
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
21%
16°C
33%
17°C
19%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 33%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
17°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
12°C or below
$230 交易量
1%
13°C
$68 交易量
7%
14°C
$35 交易量
22%
15°C
$51 交易量
21%
16°C
$80 交易量
33%
17°C
$76 交易量
19%
18°C
$35 交易量
11%
19°C
$75 交易量
8%
20°C
$72 交易量
4%
21°C
$146 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$194 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a maximum temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on April 19, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of 17°C amid lingering effects of a strong cold front that made landfall April 17, delivering heavy rain, widespread cloud cover, and cool southerly winds from the Benguela Current. These conditions suppress daytime heating well below April's climatological average of 22°C, with 14–15°C outcomes (44% combined) accounting for persistent showers or stronger winds, while 18°C+ sees lower odds due to limited ridging potential. Key variables include post-frontal clearing extent—more afternoon sun could push toward 17–18°C—and precipitation timing; monitor SAWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF model runs overnight for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,061结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a maximum temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on April 19, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of 17°C amid lingering effects of a strong cold front that made landfall April 17, delivering heavy rain, widespread cloud cover, and cool southerly winds from the Benguela Current. These conditions suppress daytime heating well below April's climatological average of 22°C, with 14–15°C outcomes (44% combined) accounting for persistent showers or stronger winds, while 18°C+ sees lower odds due to limited ridging potential. Key variables include post-frontal clearing extent—more afternoon sun could push toward 17–18°C—and precipitation timing; monitor SAWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF model runs overnight for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,061结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a maximum temperature of 16°C (33.5% implied probability) for Cape Town on April 19, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecast of 17°C amid lingering effects of a strong cold front that made landfall April 17, delivering heavy rain, widespread cloud cover, and cool southerly winds from the Benguela Current. These conditions suppress daytime heating well below April's climatological average of 22°C, with 14–15°C outcomes (44% combined) accounting for persistent showers or stronger winds, while 18°C+ sees lower odds due to limited ridging potential. Key variables include post-frontal clearing extent—more afternoon sun could push toward 17–18°C—and precipitation timing; monitor SAWS updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF model runs overnight for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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