Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 11?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 11?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,136 交易量
$61,136 交易量
2026-05-11
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,136 交易量
$61,136 交易量
2026-05-11
12°C or below
$3,751 交易量
No
13°C
$5,414 交易量
No
14°C
$6,992 交易量
No
15°C
$4,692 交易量
No
16°C
$4,936 交易量
No
17°C
$7,110 交易量
No
18°C
$11,072 交易量
Yes
19°C
$10,130 交易量
No
20°C
$2,908 交易量
No
21°C
$2,257 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$1,874 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ET
交易量
$61,136结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,136结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 3:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on May 11, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting verified observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) station amid a potent cold front. SAWS advisories warned of disruptive rain, gusts up to 78 km/h, and storm surge, which brought persistent low clouds, showers, and southerly winds that sharply curtailed solar heating and daytime warming—METAR reports showed temperatures peaking at 18°C before dropping amid precipitation. Typical May highs average 20–22°C, but frontal passages in autumn often suppress peaks by 2–4°C; model ensembles from SAWS accurately forecasted this outcome. Revision would require official data correction, improbable given post-event confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题