Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms the highest air temperature reached 28°C on April 17 at the Observatory headquarters, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid mostly fine weather with light winds and ample sunshine boosting daytime heating. This aligns with automated weather station readings from the HKO network, which use shaded thermometers for precise maximum temperature measurements under World Meteorological Organization standards. April climatology supports such warmth, with mean maximums around 27–29°C recently amid above-normal regional trends. Realistic challenges are minimal post-confirmation—only a rare data audit revealing sensor malfunction could prompt revision, though HKO's quality controls make this improbable; markets await any final archival updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日香港气温最高?
28°C 100%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$431,168 交易量
$431,168 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
28°C 100%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$431,168 交易量
$431,168 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Hong Kong Observatory's official observational data confirms the highest air temperature reached 28°C on April 17 at the Observatory headquarters, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid mostly fine weather with light winds and ample sunshine boosting daytime heating. This aligns with automated weather station readings from the HKO network, which use shaded thermometers for precise maximum temperature measurements under World Meteorological Organization standards. April climatology supports such warmth, with mean maximums around 27–29°C recently amid above-normal regional trends. Realistic challenges are minimal post-confirmation—only a rare data audit revealing sensor malfunction could prompt revision, though HKO's quality controls make this improbable; markets await any final archival updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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