Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Hong Kong's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projecting a peak of 27°C under a subtropical ridge fostering mild southerly winds and above-average warmth. This edges out 26°C (slight cloud incursions per GFS ensemble) and 28°C (ECMWF's drier scenario), reflecting model consensus amid historical March 27 averages of 24°C but recent days hitting 28°C. Differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation lowering to 26°C or persistent sunshine pushing to 28°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying readings at King's Park station; upcoming HKO updates at noon could shift odds as traders weigh these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on March 27?
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
25°C 19%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
9%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C or higher
5%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 26%
25°C 19%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
9%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Hong Kong's highest temperature on March 27, driven by the Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projecting a peak of 27°C under a subtropical ridge fostering mild southerly winds and above-average warmth. This edges out 26°C (slight cloud incursions per GFS ensemble) and 28°C (ECMWF's drier scenario), reflecting model consensus amid historical March 27 averages of 24°C but recent days hitting 28°C. Differentiators include potential sea breeze moderation lowering to 26°C or persistent sunshine pushing to 28°C, with urban heat island effects amplifying readings at King's Park station; upcoming HKO updates at noon could shift odds as traders weigh these uncertainties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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