Traders assign 99.7% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 25 because current forecasts and seasonal climatology place the daily maximum well above this threshold. Official model guidance projects afternoon highs of 34–36°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical minima rarely dipping below 23–24°C. Mid-latitude summer heating, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, underpins this near-certainty. Only an unprecedented late-season front or localized measurement anomaly would alter the outcome, scenarios unsupported by current observational data or ensemble runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日济南气温最高？
8月25日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
16°C or below
$196 交易量
<1%
17°C
$196 交易量
<1%
18°C
$201 交易量
<1%
19°C
$129 交易量
<1%
20°C
$129 交易量
<1%
21°C
$191 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,312 交易量
<1%
23°C
$129 交易量
<1%
24°C
$235 交易量
<1%
25°C
$285 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,470 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 99.7% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 25 because current forecasts and seasonal climatology place the daily maximum well above this threshold. Official model guidance projects afternoon highs of 34–36°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical minima rarely dipping below 23–24°C. Mid-latitude summer heating, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, underpins this near-certainty. Only an unprecedented late-season front or localized measurement anomaly would alter the outcome, scenarios unsupported by current observational data or ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,475结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 99.7% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 25 because current forecasts and seasonal climatology place the daily maximum well above this threshold. Official model guidance projects afternoon highs of 34–36°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical minima rarely dipping below 23–24°C. Mid-latitude summer heating, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, underpins this near-certainty. Only an unprecedented late-season front or localized measurement anomaly would alter the outcome, scenarios unsupported by current observational data or ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,475结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ETTraders assign 99.7% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 25 because current forecasts and seasonal climatology place the daily maximum well above this threshold. Official model guidance projects afternoon highs of 34–36°C under sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with August averages of 28–31°C and historical minima rarely dipping below 23–24°C. Mid-latitude summer heating, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or cloud cover that could suppress temperatures, underpins this near-certainty. Only an unprecedented late-season front or localized measurement anomaly would alter the outcome, scenarios unsupported by current observational data or ensemble runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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