**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher on August 25 in Jinan, reflecting current official forecasts from meteorological agencies showing overnight lows of 24–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** Daytime highs are projected near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely drop below 18°C. Recent model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant radiative cooling that would push the daily minimum lower. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability aligns with this consensus data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or an anomalous nocturnal inversion, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in the past 48 hours make this improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日济南最低气温?
22°C或更高 99.5%
19°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C 17.3%
12℃或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C或更高
100%
22°C或更高 99.5%
19°C 26%
20°C 22%
21°C 17.3%
12℃或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14℃
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
22%
21°C
17%
22°C或更高
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher on August 25 in Jinan, reflecting current official forecasts from meteorological agencies showing overnight lows of 24–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** Daytime highs are projected near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, consistent with August climatology where average lows range from 21–24°C and rarely drop below 18°C. Recent model runs from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate no incoming cold fronts or significant radiative cooling that would push the daily minimum lower. The overwhelming 99.5% implied probability aligns with this consensus data. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted sharp drop in dew points or an anomalous nocturnal inversion, though model agreement and the absence of such signals in the past 48 hours make this improbable before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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