Strong model consensus from multiple meteorological sources supports highs near 30°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September daily maxima typically range 27–30°C. Current observations and short-range forecasts show stable high-pressure conditions persisting without incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. The 98.9% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight forecast agreement and the low likelihood of rapid change within 24 hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to localized measurement discrepancies or an unmodeled mesoscale feature, though both carry low odds given the short lead time and observational density.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日济南气温最高？
9月3日济南气温最高？
26°C或更高 98.8%
25°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C或更高
99%
26°C或更高 98.8%
25°C 1.4%
22°C <1%
16°C或以下 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
16°C或以下
$1,125 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,134 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,130 交易量
<1%
20°C
$238 交易量
<1%
21°C
$347 交易量
<1%
22°C
$340 交易量
1%
23°C
$38 交易量
<1%
24°C
$26 交易量
<1%
25°C
$490 交易量
1%
26°C或更高
$2,017 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from multiple meteorological sources supports highs near 30°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September daily maxima typically range 27–30°C. Current observations and short-range forecasts show stable high-pressure conditions persisting without incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. The 98.9% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight forecast agreement and the low likelihood of rapid change within 24 hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to localized measurement discrepancies or an unmodeled mesoscale feature, though both carry low odds given the short lead time and observational density.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$8,010结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from multiple meteorological sources supports highs near 30°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September daily maxima typically range 27–30°C. Current observations and short-range forecasts show stable high-pressure conditions persisting without incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. The 98.9% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight forecast agreement and the low likelihood of rapid change within 24 hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to localized measurement discrepancies or an unmodeled mesoscale feature, though both carry low odds given the short lead time and observational density.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,010结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETStrong model consensus from multiple meteorological sources supports highs near 30°C in Jinan on September 3 under clear to sunny skies with light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region where September daily maxima typically range 27–30°C. Current observations and short-range forecasts show stable high-pressure conditions persisting without incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that could suppress temperatures. The 98.9% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this tight forecast agreement and the low likelihood of rapid change within 24 hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to localized measurement discrepancies or an unmodeled mesoscale feature, though both carry low odds given the short lead time and observational density.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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