Recent forecasts from international and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a high near 23–25°C in Jinan on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several warmer days earlier in the month and aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around the mid-20s, while the 31.5% on 26°C+ reflects residual uncertainty over possible afternoon clearing or model divergence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lack of strong southerly advection favor the cooler side of climatology. Traders are watching the next model runs and any updates on wind shifts or humidity changes that could alter peak readings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日济南气温最高?
26°C或以上 63%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
21°C 13%
16°C或以下
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
11%
23°C
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
10%
26°C或以上
63%
26°C或以上 63%
23°C 16%
24°C 15%
21°C 13%
16°C或以下
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
13%
22°C
11%
23°C
16%
24°C
15%
25°C
10%
26°C或以上
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from international and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a high near 23–25°C in Jinan on September 9 under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This setup follows several warmer days earlier in the month and aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around the mid-20s, while the 31.5% on 26°C+ reflects residual uncertainty over possible afternoon clearing or model divergence on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context, yet the current steering pattern and lack of strong southerly advection favor the cooler side of climatology. Traders are watching the next model runs and any updates on wind shifts or humidity changes that could alter peak readings before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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