**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日济南最低气温？
9月9日济南最低气温？
16°C 99.0%
14°C 9%
13°C 7%
12°C或以下 5%
$902 交易量
$902 交易量
2026-09-09
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 99.0%
14°C 9%
13°C 7%
12°C或以下 5%
$902 交易量
$902 交易量
2026-09-09
12°C或以下
$15 交易量
否
13°C
$72 交易量
否
14°C
$72 交易量
否
15°C
$25 交易量
否
16°C
$183 交易量
是
17°C
$80 交易量
否
18°C
$50 交易量
否
19°C
$95 交易量
否
20°C
$70 交易量
否
21°C
$95 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$145 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$902结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$902结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Forecast model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a minimum temperature of 16°C for Jinan on September 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast winds limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple runs show overnight lows stabilizing near 14–16°C (57–61°F), consistent with early autumn climatology for the region where typical September minima hover around 18°C but recent cooler air advection has lowered readings. With the trading day advanced and little model spread remaining, the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 16°C reflects high confidence in official station measurements. Only a sharper-than-expected clear-out or localized microclimate effect at the reporting site could realistically shift the recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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