**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 12, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts showing a daytime peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and agency outlooks, project maximums of 84–86°F (29–30°C) with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting any rapid cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C absent strong frontal systems. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction at this lead time, with resolution depending on verified observations from local stations. Only a substantial, unforecasted drop—such as from unexpected marine air intrusion or measurement discrepancies—could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日济南气温最高?
26℃或更高 99.8%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃或更高
100%
26℃或更高 99.8%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃或更高
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher in Jinan on September 12, 2026, rests on consistent official forecasts showing a daytime peak near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model runs and agency outlooks, project maximums of 84–86°F (29–30°C) with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover limiting any rapid cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C absent strong frontal systems. The near-certain market pricing reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range numerical weather prediction at this lead time, with resolution depending on verified observations from local stations. Only a substantial, unforecasted drop—such as from unexpected marine air intrusion or measurement discrepancies—could realistically shift the outcome below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题