**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月9日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C或更高 51%
24°C 44%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
最新
$11,585 交易量
最新
$11,585 交易量
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
44%
25°C或更高
51%
25°C或更高 51%
24°C 44%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
最新
$11,585 交易量
最新
$11,585 交易量
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
$125 交易量
<1%
16°C
$125 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$125 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,418 交易量
<1%
20°C
$347 交易量
<1%
21°C
$489 交易量
<1%
22°C
$884 交易量
2%
23°C
$1,307 交易量
7%
24°C
$3,939 交易量
44%
25°C或更高
$2,701 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,585结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,585结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Forecast uncertainty over afternoon peak temperatures amid widespread cloud cover and convective rainfall is keeping the 25°C-or-higher and 24°C outcomes nearly tied at 51% and 43.5% implied probability.** Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 m moderates daytime maxima, while September’s rainy-season pattern favors scattered showers and thunderstorms that typically develop after midday, suppressing insolation and capping surface heating. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance calls for 24–26°C under variable skies, yet several numerical models show persistent low-to-mid-level cloud and 40–80% rain chances that align more closely with 22–24°C peaks. Light variable winds and high humidity further limit warming potential. Resolution hinges on whether any clearing allows brief stronger heating or persistent convection keeps readings at or below 24°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题