National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 83°F in Miami on April 18 under sunny skies and light east winds of 5-9 mph, positioning the 82-83°F outcome at 20.5% market-implied probability while nearby 84-85°F leads trader consensus at 43.5% due to potential for greater inland heating if sea breeze onset delays. Recent days featured highs in the low 80s amid persistent easterly flow, aligning with April climatological normals around 83-84°F from NOAA records, though model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show minor spread toward upper 80s from reduced cloudiness. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists, with updated NWS advisories expected April 17 morning ahead of peak afternoon observations at Miami International Airport, the likely resolution station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 18?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 18?
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 44%
86-87°F 25%
82-83°F 21%
80-81°F 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
73°F or below
$971 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$824 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$343 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$620 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$1,060 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$513 交易量
21%
84-85°F
$704 交易量
44%
86-87°F
$552 交易量
25%
88-89°F
$526 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$459 交易量
2%
92°F or higher
$475 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 83°F in Miami on April 18 under sunny skies and light east winds of 5-9 mph, positioning the 82-83°F outcome at 20.5% market-implied probability while nearby 84-85°F leads trader consensus at 43.5% due to potential for greater inland heating if sea breeze onset delays. Recent days featured highs in the low 80s amid persistent easterly flow, aligning with April climatological normals around 83-84°F from NOAA records, though model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show minor spread toward upper 80s from reduced cloudiness. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists, with updated NWS advisories expected April 17 morning ahead of peak afternoon observations at Miami International Airport, the likely resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
交易量
$6,777结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 83°F in Miami on April 18 under sunny skies and light east winds of 5-9 mph, positioning the 82-83°F outcome at 20.5% market-implied probability while nearby 84-85°F leads trader consensus at 43.5% due to potential for greater inland heating if sea breeze onset delays. Recent days featured highs in the low 80s amid persistent easterly flow, aligning with April climatological normals around 83-84°F from NOAA records, though model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show minor spread toward upper 80s from reduced cloudiness. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists, with updated NWS advisories expected April 17 morning ahead of peak afternoon observations at Miami International Airport, the likely resolution station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,777结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETNational Weather Service guidance projects a high near 83°F in Miami on April 18 under sunny skies and light east winds of 5-9 mph, positioning the 82-83°F outcome at 20.5% market-implied probability while nearby 84-85°F leads trader consensus at 43.5% due to potential for greater inland heating if sea breeze onset delays. Recent days featured highs in the low 80s amid persistent easterly flow, aligning with April climatological normals around 83-84°F from NOAA records, though model ensembles like the GFS and ECMWF show minor spread toward upper 80s from reduced cloudiness. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists, with updated NWS advisories expected April 17 morning ahead of peak afternoon observations at Miami International Airport, the likely resolution station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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