Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20 °C for Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud reduces incoming solar radiation, while dew points near 10 °C and modest winds limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads show some members reaching 21 °C if partial clearing occurs midday, while others stay capped near 18 °C with thicker stratiform cover. This places the market’s near-even split between 19 °C and 20 °C in line with the narrow range of guidance, with the modest probability on 21 °C or higher reflecting residual model uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日慕尼黑气温最高?
19°C 36%
20°C 34%
21°C或更高 21%
18°C 15%
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14℃
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
36%
20°C
34%
21°C或更高
21%
19°C 36%
20°C 34%
21°C或更高 21%
18°C 15%
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14℃
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
15%
19°C
36%
20°C
34%
21°C或更高
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20 °C for Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. Persistent low- to mid-level cloud reduces incoming solar radiation, while dew points near 10 °C and modest winds limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads show some members reaching 21 °C if partial clearing occurs midday, while others stay capped near 18 °C with thicker stratiform cover. This places the market’s near-even split between 19 °C and 20 °C in line with the narrow range of guidance, with the modest probability on 21 °C or higher reflecting residual model uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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