Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 29?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 交易量
$72,421 交易量
2026-04-29
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$72,421 交易量
$72,421 交易量
2026-04-29
49°F or below
$1,315 交易量
No
50-51°F
$2,399 交易量
No
52-53°F
$1,971 交易量
No
54-55°F
$3,884 交易量
No
56-57°F
$4,188 交易量
No
58-59°F
$4,873 交易量
No
60-61°F
$7,384 交易量
No
62-63°F
$12,380 交易量
No
64-65°F
$12,106 交易量
No
66-67°F
$8,019 交易量
Yes
68°F or higher
$13,902 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$72,421结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,421结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official NOAA observations from San Francisco International Airport (SFO), the market's resolution station, recorded a high temperature of 66-67°F on April 29, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that bin as preliminary data finalized overnight. Persistent marine stratus clouds and cool onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed daytime heating, aligning with spring climatology where average April highs hover around 64°F amid La Niña-influenced patterns. Model forecasts from prior days had correctly anticipated this mild outcome, with no diurnal peaks exceeding the bin. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as instrument calibration errors—but historical audit rates for such adjustments remain below 1%, rendering shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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