The closely matched probabilities for 21–22°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 26 reflect model consensus on typical late-winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, with modest variability from the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passages. Official forecasts from INMET and international ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS show daily maxima centered near the climatological August average of 21–23°C, where differences of 1–2°C hinge on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and local urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting the narrow spread because fresh model runs overnight will clarify whether a slightly stronger northerly flow or clearer skies push the outcome toward 23°C or keep it at 20–21°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月26日圣保罗的最高温度？
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
13%
21°C
29%
22°C
29%
23°C
18%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 29%
22°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$93 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
2%
19°C
$5 交易量
5%
20°C
$32 交易量
13%
21°C
$494 交易量
29%
22°C
$183 交易量
29%
23°C
$145 交易量
18%
24°C
$87 交易量
6%
25°C
$22 交易量
3%
26°C
$69 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$279 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 21–22°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 26 reflect model consensus on typical late-winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, with modest variability from the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passages. Official forecasts from INMET and international ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS show daily maxima centered near the climatological August average of 21–23°C, where differences of 1–2°C hinge on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and local urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting the narrow spread because fresh model runs overnight will clarify whether a slightly stronger northerly flow or clearer skies push the outcome toward 23°C or keep it at 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,424结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 21–22°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 26 reflect model consensus on typical late-winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, with modest variability from the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passages. Official forecasts from INMET and international ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS show daily maxima centered near the climatological August average of 21–23°C, where differences of 1–2°C hinge on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and local urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting the narrow spread because fresh model runs overnight will clarify whether a slightly stronger northerly flow or clearer skies push the outcome toward 23°C or keep it at 20–21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,424结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThe closely matched probabilities for 21–22°C as the highest temperature in São Paulo on August 26 reflect model consensus on typical late-winter conditions under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, with modest variability from the precise timing and strength of any weak frontal passages. Official forecasts from INMET and international ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS show daily maxima centered near the climatological August average of 21–23°C, where differences of 1–2°C hinge on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover reducing daytime heating, and local urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting the narrow spread because fresh model runs overnight will clarify whether a slightly stronger northerly flow or clearer skies push the outcome toward 23°C or keep it at 20–21°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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