Recent forecasts from INMET and models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, keeping São Paulo’s August 25 daytime maximum near the climatological average of 22–23°C. Limited cloud cover and light winds should allow modest solar heating without significant frontal intrusions or moisture that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around 22°C (32%) and 23°C (27.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only small day-to-day variability, with 21°C remaining plausible if thicker low-level stratus develops overnight. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Mirante de Santana station, where even a 1°C model shift from updated morning runs can rebalance the closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日圣保罗的最高温度?
22°C 32%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 32%
23°C 24%
21°C 20%
20°C 8%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from INMET and models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over southeastern Brazil, keeping São Paulo’s August 25 daytime maximum near the climatological average of 22–23°C. Limited cloud cover and light winds should allow modest solar heating without significant frontal intrusions or moisture that could suppress temperatures. Trader sentiment clusters around 22°C (32%) and 23°C (27.5%) because ensemble guidance shows only small day-to-day variability, with 21°C remaining plausible if thicker low-level stratus develops overnight. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the Mirante de Santana station, where even a 1°C model shift from updated morning runs can rebalance the closely matched probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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