The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 18 projects Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport station between 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers, capping trader-implied odds for 26°C at 24.5% while closely matching 25°C and 27°C at 21% each. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing low-level moisture and frontal influences suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, though urban heat island effects and potential partial clearing introduce uncertainty differentiating the tight 24-27°C cluster. Historical April mid-month highs average 25°C, with recent volatility—like 33°C on April 11—fueling skepticism of cooler projections. Watch for daily CWA updates and new ensemble runs resolving short-term cloud trends before the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
25°C 21%
24°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C
14%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 25%
27°C 21%
25°C 21%
24°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-18
19°C or below
$1,233 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,046 交易量
1%
21°C
$894 交易量
1%
22°C
$853 交易量
4%
23°C
$851 交易量
7%
24°C
$390 交易量
20%
25°C
$230 交易量
21%
26°C
$186 交易量
25%
27°C
$177 交易量
21%
28°C
$191 交易量
14%
29°C or higher
$185 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 18 projects Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport station between 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers, capping trader-implied odds for 26°C at 24.5% while closely matching 25°C and 27°C at 21% each. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing low-level moisture and frontal influences suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, though urban heat island effects and potential partial clearing introduce uncertainty differentiating the tight 24-27°C cluster. Historical April mid-month highs average 25°C, with recent volatility—like 33°C on April 11—fueling skepticism of cooler projections. Watch for daily CWA updates and new ensemble runs resolving short-term cloud trends before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$6,236结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 18 projects Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport station between 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers, capping trader-implied odds for 26°C at 24.5% while closely matching 25°C and 27°C at 21% each. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing low-level moisture and frontal influences suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, though urban heat island effects and potential partial clearing introduce uncertainty differentiating the tight 24-27°C cluster. Historical April mid-month highs average 25°C, with recent volatility—like 33°C on April 11—fueling skepticism of cooler projections. Watch for daily CWA updates and new ensemble runs resolving short-term cloud trends before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,236结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThe Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for April 18 projects Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport station between 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers, capping trader-implied odds for 26°C at 24.5% while closely matching 25°C and 27°C at 21% each. This positioning reflects model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing low-level moisture and frontal influences suppressing daytime heating via reduced insolation, though urban heat island effects and potential partial clearing introduce uncertainty differentiating the tight 24-27°C cluster. Historical April mid-month highs average 25°C, with recent volatility—like 33°C on April 11—fueling skepticism of cooler projections. Watch for daily CWA updates and new ensemble runs resolving short-term cloud trends before the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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