The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 19?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 交易量
$132,782 交易量
2026-04-19
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,782 交易量
$132,782 交易量
2026-04-19
23°C or below
$1,548 交易量
No
24°C
$5,281 交易量
No
25°C
$6,152 交易量
No
26°C
$7,230 交易量
No
27°C
$5,434 交易量
No
28°C
$71,227 交易量
Yes
29°C
$7,893 交易量
No
30°C
$8,431 交易量
No
31°C
$7,383 交易量
No
32°C
$7,121 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$5,083 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$132,782结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$132,782结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects a daytime high of 28°C for Taipei on April 19 under mostly clear skies and comfortable conditions, as northeasterly seasonal winds weaken, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with model consensus from official observations, where apparent temperatures reach 29°C but sustained peaks at key stations like Taipei Songshan Airport— the typical resolution source—remain capped near forecast levels amid 10% precipitation risk and UV index 8. Historical April averages hover around 26°C, with today's slight elevation tied to reduced cloud cover. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon solar heating or urban heat island effects pushing toward 29°C, though current data trends strongly support 28°C resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题