Recent meteorological model consensus points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring daytime highs of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting efficient solar heating. The near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C reflects small uncertainties in peak timing, local sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. These factors can shift the maximum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and dew-point evolution. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will clarify whether radiative warming pushes the reading into the upper end of the favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日特拉维夫的最高温度?
33°C 51%
34°C 46%
35°C 6%
36°C 4%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
51%
34°C
46%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
1%
33°C 51%
34°C 46%
35°C 6%
36°C 4%
29°C或以下
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
51%
34°C
46%
35°C
6%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological model consensus points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the eastern Mediterranean, favoring daytime highs of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 16, with light northwest winds and low humidity supporting efficient solar heating. The near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C reflects small uncertainties in peak timing, local sea-breeze moderation along the coast, and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing. These factors can shift the maximum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and dew-point evolution. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will clarify whether radiative warming pushes the reading into the upper end of the favored range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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