Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and regional agencies project Tel Aviv’s September 16 low near 23–24 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with late-summer norms where overnight cooling is modest. This consensus supports the market’s leading implied probabilities on 23 °C and 24 °C, as traders weigh the narrow range between typical minima and the slim chance of slightly cooler readings if winds weaken further. Historical September lows average 21–22 °C, yet current conditions show no significant deviation or incoming fronts that would shift odds toward 20 °C or below. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact minimums before final observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日特拉维夫最低气温?
20°C或以下 92%
21°C 6%
22°C 6%
25°C <1%
20°C或以下
92%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
48%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
20°C或以下 92%
21°C 6%
22°C 6%
25°C <1%
20°C或以下
92%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
48%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA-aligned sources and regional agencies project Tel Aviv’s September 16 low near 23–24 °C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning with late-summer norms where overnight cooling is modest. This consensus supports the market’s leading implied probabilities on 23 °C and 24 °C, as traders weigh the narrow range between typical minima and the slim chance of slightly cooler readings if winds weaken further. Historical September lows average 21–22 °C, yet current conditions show no significant deviation or incoming fronts that would shift odds toward 20 °C or below. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact minimums before final observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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