Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月18日特拉维夫的最高温度？
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
最新
$11,141 交易量
最新
$11,141 交易量
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
42%
31°C
56%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 56%
30°C 42%
32°C 3%
29°C 3%
最新
$11,141 交易量
最新
$11,141 交易量
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
28°C
$220 交易量
1%
29°C
$1,292 交易量
3%
30°C
$3,874 交易量
42%
31°C
$2,976 交易量
56%
32°C
$1,223 交易量
3%
33°C
$140 交易量
1%
34°C
$53 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,093 交易量
<1%
36°C
$119 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,141结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,141结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate a cooling trend for Tel Aviv on September 18, with daytime highs expected near 29–30°C amid increased cloud cover, westerly winds, and a chance of light showers that suppress peak temperatures. This follows several days of above-normal heat earlier in the week. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 31°C and 41.5% for 30°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 32°C or higher account for residual model spread and potential for brief clearing. Official guidance highlights inherent forecast uncertainty in short-term temperature maxima, particularly with precipitation timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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