Traders have converged on 30°C as the market-implied outcome for Warsaw’s highest temperature on September 9 because official station observations and forecast models aligned on a daytime peak near that threshold. High pressure, clear skies, and light winds supported strong solar heating, pushing afternoon readings to 29.2°C at the primary Warszawa monitoring site while nearby models briefly projected 30°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from national meteorological services rather than long-term averages. A modest revision in the final official maximum—due to station-specific timing, slight cooling from increased cloud cover, or measurement adjustments—remains the main scenario that could shift resolution away from exactly 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日华沙最高气温？
9月9日华沙最高气温？
30°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,180 交易量
$59,180 交易量
2026-09-09
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$59,180 交易量
$59,180 交易量
2026-09-09
25°C或以下
$421 交易量
否
26°C
$211 交易量
否
27°C
$954 交易量
否
28°C
$8,189 交易量
否
29°C
$34,239 交易量
否
30°C
$5,250 交易量
是
31°C
$4,749 交易量
否
32°C
$1,818 交易量
否
33°C
$1,089 交易量
否
34°C
$1,645 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$617 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 30°C as the market-implied outcome for Warsaw’s highest temperature on September 9 because official station observations and forecast models aligned on a daytime peak near that threshold. High pressure, clear skies, and light winds supported strong solar heating, pushing afternoon readings to 29.2°C at the primary Warszawa monitoring site while nearby models briefly projected 30°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from national meteorological services rather than long-term averages. A modest revision in the final official maximum—due to station-specific timing, slight cooling from increased cloud cover, or measurement adjustments—remains the main scenario that could shift resolution away from exactly 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$59,180结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 30°C as the market-implied outcome for Warsaw’s highest temperature on September 9 because official station observations and forecast models aligned on a daytime peak near that threshold. High pressure, clear skies, and light winds supported strong solar heating, pushing afternoon readings to 29.2°C at the primary Warszawa monitoring site while nearby models briefly projected 30°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from national meteorological services rather than long-term averages. A modest revision in the final official maximum—due to station-specific timing, slight cooling from increased cloud cover, or measurement adjustments—remains the main scenario that could shift resolution away from exactly 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,180结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on 30°C as the market-implied outcome for Warsaw’s highest temperature on September 9 because official station observations and forecast models aligned on a daytime peak near that threshold. High pressure, clear skies, and light winds supported strong solar heating, pushing afternoon readings to 29.2°C at the primary Warszawa monitoring site while nearby models briefly projected 30°C. This consensus reflects real-time data from national meteorological services rather than long-term averages. A modest revision in the final official maximum—due to station-specific timing, slight cooling from increased cloud cover, or measurement adjustments—remains the main scenario that could shift resolution away from exactly 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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