**Current forecasts from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and GFS models point to an overnight low near 13°C under light westerly winds and mostly clear skies, supporting radiative cooling overnight.** Traders have placed strong implied probability on an 11°C minimum, reflecting expectations that localized cooling or slight model adjustments could push readings lower than the broader consensus. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept conditions stable with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with typical early-September patterns in Warsaw where clear nights often produce the day's lowest temperatures. Upcoming official observations from stations like Warszawa-Okecie will resolve the market as the calendar day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日华沙最低气温?
11°C 90%
9°C或更低 20%
10°C 15%
12°C <1%
$639 交易量
$639 交易量
9°C或更低
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
11°C 90%
9°C或更低 20%
10°C 15%
12°C <1%
$639 交易量
$639 交易量
9°C或更低
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecasts from sources like the Norwegian Meteorological Institute and GFS models point to an overnight low near 13°C under light westerly winds and mostly clear skies, supporting radiative cooling overnight.** Traders have placed strong implied probability on an 11°C minimum, reflecting expectations that localized cooling or slight model adjustments could push readings lower than the broader consensus. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept conditions stable with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with typical early-September patterns in Warsaw where clear nights often produce the day's lowest temperatures. Upcoming official observations from stations like Warszawa-Okecie will resolve the market as the calendar day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题