Confirmed peak temperature observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport reached 29°C around 3 p.m. local time on April 18, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as implied by Polymarket odds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 27–29°C daytime highs amid hazy sunshine and light winds, aligned with this positioning ahead of peak hours. With sunset now past and temperatures cooling to the low 20s°C under clearing skies, the diurnal cycle precludes further warming. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-sunset measurement revision or outlier station data exceeding airport readings, both improbable per standard meteorological protocols. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,502 交易量
$59,502 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,502 交易量
$59,502 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Confirmed peak temperature observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport reached 29°C around 3 p.m. local time on April 18, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as implied by Polymarket odds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 27–29°C daytime highs amid hazy sunshine and light winds, aligned with this positioning ahead of peak hours. With sunset now past and temperatures cooling to the low 20s°C under clearing skies, the diurnal cycle precludes further warming. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-sunset measurement revision or outlier station data exceeding airport readings, both improbable per standard meteorological protocols. Final CMA daily summary expected within 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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