OpenAI Codex usage-limit resets, tracked via announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux, occur when the company grants global refreshes or banked reset credits to paid users, often coinciding with model launches or bug fixes. The primary driver behind current market-implied odds is the September 22 banked reset tied to the GPT-6 Sol and Luna launch, which added redeemable credits for Plus, Pro, and Business accounts without immediately altering personal weekly clocks. Historical patterns show clusters of such events around major rollouts like Astra, with recent intervals averaging roughly every 3–7 days. Traders pricing 3 resets as the leading outcome for the week of September 21 appear to factor in this momentum plus potential follow-on credits or fixes, while lower-probability bins for 0–2 or 4+ reflect uncertainty over whether additional discretionary actions will materialize before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1 26%
0 25%
2 24%
4+ 22.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
0
25%
1
38%
2
28%
3
55%
4+
23%
1 26%
0 25%
2 24%
4+ 22.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
0
$163 交易量
25%
1
$80 交易量
38%
2
$126 交易量
28%
3
$40 交易量
55%
4+
$128 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI Codex usage-limit resets, tracked via announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux, occur when the company grants global refreshes or banked reset credits to paid users, often coinciding with model launches or bug fixes. The primary driver behind current market-implied odds is the September 22 banked reset tied to the GPT-6 Sol and Luna launch, which added redeemable credits for Plus, Pro, and Business accounts without immediately altering personal weekly clocks. Historical patterns show clusters of such events around major rollouts like Astra, with recent intervals averaging roughly every 3–7 days. Traders pricing 3 resets as the leading outcome for the week of September 21 appear to factor in this momentum plus potential follow-on credits or fixes, while lower-probability bins for 0–2 or 4+ reflect uncertainty over whether additional discretionary actions will materialize before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$538结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI Codex usage-limit resets, tracked via announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux, occur when the company grants global refreshes or banked reset credits to paid users, often coinciding with model launches or bug fixes. The primary driver behind current market-implied odds is the September 22 banked reset tied to the GPT-6 Sol and Luna launch, which added redeemable credits for Plus, Pro, and Business accounts without immediately altering personal weekly clocks. Historical patterns show clusters of such events around major rollouts like Astra, with recent intervals averaging roughly every 3–7 days. Traders pricing 3 resets as the leading outcome for the week of September 21 appear to factor in this momentum plus potential follow-on credits or fixes, while lower-probability bins for 0–2 or 4+ reflect uncertainty over whether additional discretionary actions will materialize before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of qualifying resets announced or initiated between 12:00 a.m. ET on September 21, 2026, and 11:59 p.m. ET on September 27, 2026.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resets will be counted by the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI announces or initiates them, and at most one reset will be counted per calendar date. Announcements, confirmations, or phased rollouts of a reset already counted will not add to the total.
A qualifying reset is a discretionary, non-scheduled action by OpenAI that, ahead of the normal reset schedule, either zeroes or refills the weekly or generally applicable usage allowance for paid Codex or ChatGPT Work subscription users, or grants those users a reset that OpenAI characterizes as a banked or redeemable rate-limit reset, regardless of whether or when individual users redeem it. A reset will still qualify if certain models with separate usage limits, certain plans, or some users are not covered due to technical exceptions, phased rollout, or plan differences.
Normal scheduled resets, resets granted only to individually selected users or accounts, temporary limit increases, additional usage or credits that do not refill existing allowances, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of OpenAI API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. Only qualifying resets announced or initiated within the specified week will be counted.
An official announcement stating that OpenAI has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will count if published within the specified week, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official OpenAI accounts or OpenAI employees authorized to announce Codex usage changes, for example: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/2042296046009626989 and https://x.com/sama/status/2041658719839383945.
This market will resolve to "No" as soon as the specified number of resets becomes impossible, for example because more resets than the specified number have already occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official communications from OpenAI, including X posts published by @OpenAI, @OpenAIDevs, @sama, @thsottiaux, or any other OpenAI-operated account, as well as official OpenAI blog posts, changelogs, and in-product notices. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$538结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 11:04 AM ETOpenAI Codex usage-limit resets, tracked via announcements from engineering lead Tibo Sottiaux, occur when the company grants global refreshes or banked reset credits to paid users, often coinciding with model launches or bug fixes. The primary driver behind current market-implied odds is the September 22 banked reset tied to the GPT-6 Sol and Luna launch, which added redeemable credits for Plus, Pro, and Business accounts without immediately altering personal weekly clocks. Historical patterns show clusters of such events around major rollouts like Astra, with recent intervals averaging roughly every 3–7 days. Traders pricing 3 resets as the leading outcome for the week of September 21 appear to factor in this momentum plus potential follow-on credits or fixes, while lower-probability bins for 0–2 or 4+ reflect uncertainty over whether additional discretionary actions will materialize before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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