Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于10月16日 48%
10 月 11 日 31%
10月7日 26%
10 月 24 日 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
在 10 月 1 日或之前
14%
10 月 2 日
1%
10 月 3 日
6%
10 月 4 日
6%
10月5日
1%
10月6日
10%
10月7日
26%
10月8日
14%
10 月 9 日
1%
10月10日
13%
10 月 11 日
31%
10 月 12 日
26%
10 月 13 日
15%
10 月 14 日
15%
10月15日
15%
10月16日
48%
10月17日
25%
10 月 18 日
25%
10 月 19 日
24%
10 月 20 日
25%
10 月 21 日
25%
10 月 22 日
14%
10月23日
14%
10 月 24 日
26%
10 月 25 日
17%
10 月 26 日
10%
10 月 27 日
1%
10 月 28 日
13%
10月29日
15%
10 月 30 日
15%
10 月 31 日
11%
截至10月31日前未发布
26%
10月16日 48%
10 月 11 日 31%
10月7日 26%
10 月 24 日 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-01
在 10 月 1 日或之前
$42 交易量
14%
10 月 2 日
$39 交易量
1%
10 月 3 日
$42 交易量
6%
10 月 4 日
$42 交易量
6%
10月5日
$39 交易量
1%
10月6日
$42 交易量
10%
10月7日
$42 交易量
26%
10月8日
$42 交易量
14%
10 月 9 日
$39 交易量
1%
10月10日
$42 交易量
13%
10 月 11 日
$42 交易量
31%
10 月 12 日
$42 交易量
26%
10 月 13 日
$42 交易量
15%
10 月 14 日
$42 交易量
15%
10月15日
$42 交易量
15%
10月16日
$42 交易量
48%
10月17日
$42 交易量
25%
10 月 18 日
$42 交易量
25%
10 月 19 日
$42 交易量
24%
10 月 20 日
$42 交易量
25%
10 月 21 日
$42 交易量
25%
10 月 22 日
$42 交易量
14%
10月23日
$42 交易量
14%
10 月 24 日
$42 交易量
26%
10 月 25 日
$42 交易量
17%
10 月 26 日
$42 交易量
10%
10 月 27 日
$42 交易量
1%
10 月 28 日
$42 交易量
13%
10月29日
$42 交易量
15%
10 月 30 日
$42 交易量
15%
10 月 31 日
$42 交易量
11%
截至10月31日前未发布
$42 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
交易量
$1,335结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,335结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ETGoogle’s ongoing delays for the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after an I/O teaser and later pushed into July or beyond—remain the central driver behind the dispersed October odds. The model continues internal and partner testing to meet performance targets in coding, long-horizon tasks, and agentic workflows, while Google ships frequent lighter variants such as 3.8 Flash and Live models in September. Traders weigh Google’s history of conservative flagship pacing, the start of Gemini 4 pre-training, and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic against the possibility of a late-month release once benchmarks stabilize. No firm public timeline has emerged, leaving resolution sensitive to any API changelog or developer-conference update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题