Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the lowest outcome bin—fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir during April 10–17 at 42.5% implied probability, reflecting the account's recent pattern of 5 archival statements reposted April 1–7 amid Iran’s leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s martyrdom in early March U.S.-Israeli strikes. The office continues selective releases of past quotes criticizing Zionists, U.S. interference, and Western savagery, but at a measured pace averaging 1 every 1–2 days. Persistent rumors of injuries to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei—despite an April 1 official health reassurance—signal cautious operations, positioning 5–9 posts (31%) and 10–14 (29.5%) as close contenders; renewed escalation in Resistance forces’ actions or diplomatic deadlines could elevate volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哈梅内伊# posts 2026年4月10日至4月17日？
哈梅内伊# posts 2026年4月10日至4月17日？
<5 41%
5-9 31%
10-14 29%
15-19 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
<5
41%
5-9
31%
10-14
29%
15-19
26%
20-24
26%
25-29
23%
30-34
24%
35-39
20%
40-44
19%
45-49
11%
50-54
14%
55-59
16%
60+
<1%
<5 41%
5-9 31%
10-14 29%
15-19 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
<5
$42 交易量
41%
5-9
$7 交易量
31%
10-14
$7 交易量
29%
15-19
$7 交易量
26%
20-24
$7 交易量
26%
25-29
$7 交易量
23%
30-34
$12 交易量
24%
35-39
$32 交易量
20%
40-44
$47 交易量
19%
45-49
$70 交易量
11%
50-54
$70 交易量
14%
55-59
$116 交易量
16%
60+
$269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the lowest outcome bin—fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir during April 10–17 at 42.5% implied probability, reflecting the account's recent pattern of 5 archival statements reposted April 1–7 amid Iran’s leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s martyrdom in early March U.S.-Israeli strikes. The office continues selective releases of past quotes criticizing Zionists, U.S. interference, and Western savagery, but at a measured pace averaging 1 every 1–2 days. Persistent rumors of injuries to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei—despite an April 1 official health reassurance—signal cautious operations, positioning 5–9 posts (31%) and 10–14 (29.5%) as close contenders; renewed escalation in Resistance forces’ actions or diplomatic deadlines could elevate volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$694结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the lowest outcome bin—fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir during April 10–17 at 42.5% implied probability, reflecting the account's recent pattern of 5 archival statements reposted April 1–7 amid Iran’s leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s martyrdom in early March U.S.-Israeli strikes. The office continues selective releases of past quotes criticizing Zionists, U.S. interference, and Western savagery, but at a measured pace averaging 1 every 1–2 days. Persistent rumors of injuries to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei—despite an April 1 official health reassurance—signal cautious operations, positioning 5–9 posts (31%) and 10–14 (29.5%) as close contenders; renewed escalation in Resistance forces’ actions or diplomatic deadlines could elevate volume.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$694结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the lowest outcome bin—fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir during April 10–17 at 42.5% implied probability, reflecting the account's recent pattern of 5 archival statements reposted April 1–7 amid Iran’s leadership transition following Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s martyrdom in early March U.S.-Israeli strikes. The office continues selective releases of past quotes criticizing Zionists, U.S. interference, and Western savagery, but at a measured pace averaging 1 every 1–2 days. Persistent rumors of injuries to successor Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei—despite an April 1 official health reassurance—signal cautious operations, positioning 5–9 posts (31%) and 10–14 (29.5%) as close contenders; renewed escalation in Resistance forces’ actions or diplomatic deadlines could elevate volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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