Current ensemble forecasts for Ankara on September 4 point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure, promoting efficient radiative cooling overnight on the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 15–17°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around 14°C and 15°C as traders weigh slight model differences in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical early-September climatology shows average lows near 14–16°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the narrow spread; any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind could tip the balance between those two leading outcomes before official observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日安卡拉最低温度?
13°C 74%
18°C 73%
12°C 72%
17°C 72%
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
72%
13°C
74%
14°C
56%
15°C
41%
16°C
39%
17°C
72%
18°C
73%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C或更高
59%
13°C 74%
18°C 73%
12°C 72%
17°C 72%
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
72%
13°C
74%
14°C
56%
15°C
41%
16°C
39%
17°C
72%
18°C
73%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Ankara on September 4 point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds under stable high pressure, promoting efficient radiative cooling overnight on the Anatolian plateau at roughly 900 m elevation. This setup typically yields minimum temperatures of 15–17°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around 14°C and 15°C as traders weigh slight model differences in boundary-layer humidity, wind speed, and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Historical early-September climatology shows average lows near 14–16°C, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing the narrow spread; any last-minute shift in cloud cover or wind could tip the balance between those two leading outcomes before official observations finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题