Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日北京最低气温？
9月16日北京最低气温？
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或更高 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
99%
12°C
38%
13°C
39%
14°C
38%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C或更高
98%
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或更高 98%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
38%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Beijing on September 16 under clear skies and light southerly flow, driven by persistent high pressure and above-average daytime heating that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome near or slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological low of 16°C for the date, while historical extremes range from 7.3°C to 23°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly even between sub-12°C and 21°C+ thresholds because short-range model spreads in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and any late-arriving cloud cover can shift the overnight minimum by 3–5°C. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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