Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日北京最低气温？
9月25日北京最低气温？
23°C或更高 89%
13℃或以下 78%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
13℃或以下
78%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
89%
23°C或更高 89%
13℃或以下 78%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
13℃或以下
$0 交易量
78%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent China Meteorological Administration guidance points to a minimum near 18°C in Beijing on September 25 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, following modest overnight cooling after scattered showers on the 24th. This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, where model consensus on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover is strongest, while the closely matched tail probabilities reflect lingering uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates. Historical September 25 lows average 13.8°C, but the current transitional pattern favors milder readings; fresh model runs and official updates over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 17°C or edges higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题