Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature of 17–19°C for Beijing on September 23, shaped by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest moisture return that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though subtle shifts in cloud timing or weak boundary-layer mixing could allow the low to dip toward 15°C or hold near 21°C. With resolution two days away, traders weigh the latest model runs and official guidance against historical September variability, where similar synoptic patterns have produced lows from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日北京最低气温？
9月23日北京最低气温？
13°C或以下 100%
23°C或更高 97%
17°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13°C或以下
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
24%
19°C
39%
20°C
6%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C或更高
97%
13°C或以下 100%
23°C或更高 97%
17°C 40%
14°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$53 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature of 17–19°C for Beijing on September 23, shaped by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest moisture return that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though subtle shifts in cloud timing or weak boundary-layer mixing could allow the low to dip toward 15°C or hold near 21°C. With resolution two days away, traders weigh the latest model runs and official guidance against historical September variability, where similar synoptic patterns have produced lows from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$53结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature of 17–19°C for Beijing on September 23, shaped by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest moisture return that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though subtle shifts in cloud timing or weak boundary-layer mixing could allow the low to dip toward 15°C or hold near 21°C. With resolution two days away, traders weigh the latest model runs and official guidance against historical September variability, where similar synoptic patterns have produced lows from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a likely minimum temperature of 17–19°C for Beijing on September 23, shaped by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and modest moisture return that moderates overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though subtle shifts in cloud timing or weak boundary-layer mixing could allow the low to dip toward 15°C or hold near 21°C. With resolution two days away, traders weigh the latest model runs and official guidance against historical September variability, where similar synoptic patterns have produced lows from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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