Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under clear skies and light variable winds on September 21, supporting overnight radiative cooling that favors a minimum in the 16–18°C range. This setup contrasts with recent days’ higher dew points and cloud cover that limited cooling. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market probabilities include model spread in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds after sunset, and the urban heat island’s influence on official station readings. Clear conditions and a stable high-pressure ridge reduce the chance of significant warming or cold advection, yet small shifts in these parameters could push the recorded low across the 15–17°C thresholds that traders are pricing most heavily. Updated model runs and early-morning observations tomorrow will clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日北京最低气温？
9月21日北京最低气温？
13°C或以下 81%
23°C或更高 78%
15°C 40%
18°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
81%
14°C
18%
15°C
40%
16°C
31%
17°C
21%
18°C
38%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C或更高
78%
13°C或以下 81%
23°C或更高 78%
15°C 40%
18°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
81%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C
$0 交易量
14%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
13%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under clear skies and light variable winds on September 21, supporting overnight radiative cooling that favors a minimum in the 16–18°C range. This setup contrasts with recent days’ higher dew points and cloud cover that limited cooling. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market probabilities include model spread in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds after sunset, and the urban heat island’s influence on official station readings. Clear conditions and a stable high-pressure ridge reduce the chance of significant warming or cold advection, yet small shifts in these parameters could push the recorded low across the 15–17°C thresholds that traders are pricing most heavily. Updated model runs and early-morning observations tomorrow will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under clear skies and light variable winds on September 21, supporting overnight radiative cooling that favors a minimum in the 16–18°C range. This setup contrasts with recent days’ higher dew points and cloud cover that limited cooling. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market probabilities include model spread in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds after sunset, and the urban heat island’s influence on official station readings. Clear conditions and a stable high-pressure ridge reduce the chance of significant warming or cold advection, yet small shifts in these parameters could push the recorded low across the 15–17°C thresholds that traders are pricing most heavily. Updated model runs and early-morning observations tomorrow will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Beijing under clear skies and light variable winds on September 21, supporting overnight radiative cooling that favors a minimum in the 16–18°C range. This setup contrasts with recent days’ higher dew points and cloud cover that limited cooling. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market probabilities include model spread in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds after sunset, and the urban heat island’s influence on official station readings. Clear conditions and a stable high-pressure ridge reduce the chance of significant warming or cold advection, yet small shifts in these parameters could push the recorded low across the 15–17°C thresholds that traders are pricing most heavily. Updated model runs and early-morning observations tomorrow will clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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