Recent numerical weather prediction runs highlight uncertainty in Busan’s overnight minimum on September 23, with model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and northeasterly advection from the East Sea. Current guidance points to partly cloudy conditions and light winds that could allow lows near 16–19 °C, yet small shifts in high pressure positioning or increased marine layer moisture might push readings several degrees lower or sustain them above 20 °C. Historical late-September climatology for Busan shows typical minima around 18 °C, placing the current market balance between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes squarely within forecast uncertainty ranges. Updated KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria for the daily low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日釜山气温最低？
9月23日釜山气温最低？
12°C或以下 100%
22℃或更高 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22℃或更高
98%
12°C或以下 100%
22℃或更高 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
40%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22℃或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs highlight uncertainty in Busan’s overnight minimum on September 23, with model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and northeasterly advection from the East Sea. Current guidance points to partly cloudy conditions and light winds that could allow lows near 16–19 °C, yet small shifts in high pressure positioning or increased marine layer moisture might push readings several degrees lower or sustain them above 20 °C. Historical late-September climatology for Busan shows typical minima around 18 °C, placing the current market balance between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes squarely within forecast uncertainty ranges. Updated KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs highlight uncertainty in Busan’s overnight minimum on September 23, with model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and northeasterly advection from the East Sea. Current guidance points to partly cloudy conditions and light winds that could allow lows near 16–19 °C, yet small shifts in high pressure positioning or increased marine layer moisture might push readings several degrees lower or sustain them above 20 °C. Historical late-September climatology for Busan shows typical minima around 18 °C, placing the current market balance between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes squarely within forecast uncertainty ranges. Updated KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs highlight uncertainty in Busan’s overnight minimum on September 23, with model spreads in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and northeasterly advection from the East Sea. Current guidance points to partly cloudy conditions and light winds that could allow lows near 16–19 °C, yet small shifts in high pressure positioning or increased marine layer moisture might push readings several degrees lower or sustain them above 20 °C. Historical late-September climatology for Busan shows typical minima around 18 °C, placing the current market balance between sub-13 °C and 22 °C-plus outcomes squarely within forecast uncertainty ranges. Updated KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria for the daily low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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