Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日重庆气温最低？
8月30日重庆气温最低？
19°C or below 93%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
93%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 93%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
19°C or below
$0 交易量
93%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$20 交易量
<1%
27°C
$30 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,025 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,105结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,105结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29 has cooled surface temperatures and increased soil moisture, enhancing potential for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover on the 30th. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and global models (ECMWF, GFS) indicate minimum temperatures near 23–25°C, yet trader-implied odds favor 19°C or below (46.5%) due to uncertainty in post-rain clearing timing, humidity levels near 80–90%, and light wind patterns that could allow greater heat loss. Historical August lows average 25–26°C, but the recent cooldown shifts baseline expectations downward. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates and local observations likely to refine probabilities before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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