Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing through August 29, followed by clearing skies and lighter winds on the 30th–31st, is the main factor keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 20–24 °C for the August 31 minimum. Elevated soil moisture and residual humidity after the storms limit overnight radiative cooling, while model runs show minor disagreements on the exact timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the low by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service currently brackets overnight lows near 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy to fair conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes and the low odds assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and local observations expected on the 30th will further narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日重庆气温最低？
8月31日重庆气温最低？
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
18°C or below 48%
19°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C or below
48%
19°C
44%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
27%
23°C
37%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
2%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
18°C or below 48%
19°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
18°C or below
$0 交易量
48%
19°C
$0 交易量
44%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C
$0 交易量
26%
25°C
$0 交易量
8%
26°C
$0 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
8%
28°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing through August 29, followed by clearing skies and lighter winds on the 30th–31st, is the main factor keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 20–24 °C for the August 31 minimum. Elevated soil moisture and residual humidity after the storms limit overnight radiative cooling, while model runs show minor disagreements on the exact timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the low by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service currently brackets overnight lows near 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy to fair conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes and the low odds assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and local observations expected on the 30th will further narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing through August 29, followed by clearing skies and lighter winds on the 30th–31st, is the main factor keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 20–24 °C for the August 31 minimum. Elevated soil moisture and residual humidity after the storms limit overnight radiative cooling, while model runs show minor disagreements on the exact timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the low by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service currently brackets overnight lows near 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy to fair conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes and the low odds assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and local observations expected on the 30th will further narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent heavy rainfall across Chongqing through August 29, followed by clearing skies and lighter winds on the 30th–31st, is the main factor keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between 20–24 °C for the August 31 minimum. Elevated soil moisture and residual humidity after the storms limit overnight radiative cooling, while model runs show minor disagreements on the exact timing of cloud dissipation and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the low by 1–3 °C. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Service currently brackets overnight lows near 23–25 °C under mostly cloudy to fair conditions, consistent with the market’s near-even distribution across those outcomes and the low odds assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and local observations expected on the 30th will further narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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