Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 19, with daytime highs near 15–17°C and overnight lows projected between 11–13°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain, and moderate winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C as the leading outcome. Persistent Atlantic air advection and a lack of clear skies have kept recent minima above seasonal norms, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud breaks introduce uncertainty around 10–11°C. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for above-average temperatures against the possibility of localized cooling if winds ease overnight. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日赫尔辛基最低气温？
9月19日赫尔辛基最低气温？
12°C 46%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
7°C或更低
9%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
19%
14°C
11%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C或更高
5%
12°C 46%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
9°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
7°C或更低
$0 交易量
9%
8°C
$0 交易量
19%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$46 交易量
46%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
7%
16°C
$0 交易量
5%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 19, with daytime highs near 15–17°C and overnight lows projected between 11–13°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain, and moderate winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C as the leading outcome. Persistent Atlantic air advection and a lack of clear skies have kept recent minima above seasonal norms, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud breaks introduce uncertainty around 10–11°C. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for above-average temperatures against the possibility of localized cooling if winds ease overnight. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 19, with daytime highs near 15–17°C and overnight lows projected between 11–13°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain, and moderate winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C as the leading outcome. Persistent Atlantic air advection and a lack of clear skies have kept recent minima above seasonal norms, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud breaks introduce uncertainty around 10–11°C. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for above-average temperatures against the possibility of localized cooling if winds ease overnight. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, and global models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild southwesterly flow over Helsinki on September 19, with daytime highs near 15–17°C and overnight lows projected between 11–13°C amid widespread cloud cover, rain, and moderate winds. These conditions limit radiative cooling, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C as the leading outcome. Persistent Atlantic air advection and a lack of clear skies have kept recent minima above seasonal norms, though minor model disagreements on exact cloud breaks introduce uncertainty around 10–11°C. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus for above-average temperatures against the possibility of localized cooling if winds ease overnight. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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