Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日休斯顿最低温度？
9月9日休斯顿最低温度？
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 交易量
$1,622 交易量
2026-09-09
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87华氏度
否
88-89°F
否
90华氏度或更高
否
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 交易量
$1,622 交易量
2026-09-09
71°F或以下
$49 交易量
否
72-73°F
$27 交易量
否
74-75°F
$27 交易量
否
76-77°F
$42 交易量
否
78-79°F
$181 交易量
是
80-81°F
$367 交易量
否
82-83°F
$388 交易量
否
84-85°F
$94 交易量
否
86-87华氏度
$244 交易量
否
88-89°F
$124 交易量
否
90华氏度或更高
$80 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,622结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,622结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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