Recent short-range forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 28–31°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, with light southerly winds and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology showing average lows near 28°C, though slight increases in humidity or reduced wind speeds could enhance radiative cooling enough to dip toward 26°C or below. The near-even market split between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes captures genuine model spread and the sensitivity of overnight minima to small atmospheric changes two days out, with updated guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology expected to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日吉达的最低温度？
9月16日吉达的最低温度？
35°C或更高 85%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
29°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
7%
26°C
8%
27°C
8%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
25%
31°C
28%
32°C
24%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C或更高
85%
35°C或更高 85%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
29°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
7%
26°C
$0 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
8%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C
$3 交易量
25%
31°C
$3 交易量
28%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$0 交易量
39%
34°C
$0 交易量
39%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 28–31°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, with light southerly winds and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology showing average lows near 28°C, though slight increases in humidity or reduced wind speeds could enhance radiative cooling enough to dip toward 26°C or below. The near-even market split between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes captures genuine model spread and the sensitivity of overnight minima to small atmospheric changes two days out, with updated guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology expected to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 28–31°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, with light southerly winds and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology showing average lows near 28°C, though slight increases in humidity or reduced wind speeds could enhance radiative cooling enough to dip toward 26°C or below. The near-even market split between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes captures genuine model spread and the sensitivity of overnight minima to small atmospheric changes two days out, with updated guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology expected to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent short-range forecast model runs from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Jeddah's minimum temperature on September 16 will likely fall between 28–31°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, with light southerly winds and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. This aligns closely with September climatology showing average lows near 28°C, though slight increases in humidity or reduced wind speeds could enhance radiative cooling enough to dip toward 26°C or below. The near-even market split between sub-25°C and 35°C+ outcomes captures genuine model spread and the sensitivity of overnight minima to small atmospheric changes two days out, with updated guidance from the Saudi National Center for Meteorology expected to narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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