Recent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 26°C or below as the market leader for Jeddah’s September 15 minimum. Coastal Red Sea humidity typically limits drops, yet current runs show dew points falling into the low 20s°C overnight, consistent with historical September lows near 27–29°C and occasional dips below 26°C when winds remain under 3 m/s. Higher-probability bins around 31–33°C reflect upside risks from any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow that would retain heat. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles through September 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日吉达的最低温度?
26°C或以下 97%
31°C 45%
32°C 21%
33°C 21%
26°C或以下
97%
27°C
15%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
25%
32°C
21%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35℃
15%
36°C或更高
1%
26°C或以下 97%
31°C 45%
32°C 21%
33°C 21%
26°C或以下
97%
27°C
15%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
25%
32°C
21%
33°C
21%
34°C
16%
35℃
15%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds as the main driver positioning 26°C or below as the market leader for Jeddah’s September 15 minimum. Coastal Red Sea humidity typically limits drops, yet current runs show dew points falling into the low 20s°C overnight, consistent with historical September lows near 27–29°C and occasional dips below 26°C when winds remain under 3 m/s. Higher-probability bins around 31–33°C reflect upside risks from any increase in cloud cover or onshore flow that would retain heat. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and next model cycles through September 14 will refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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