**Forecast consensus points to a mild overnight low near 18–20°C for Jinan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in Shandong.** Multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Moji, Met Office, and AccuWeather, consistently project daytime highs of 30–32°C and nighttime minima in that range under mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Radiative cooling will be moderate given dew points around 15–18°C and light winds under 5 m/s, limiting extreme drops. The near-even market odds on 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher likely reflect trader focus on tail risks—such as an unforecast cold surge or greater-than-expected mixing—rather than the central scientific guidance, which shows low uncertainty for this short-term period. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日济南最低气温?
22℃或更高 93%
12°C或以下 91%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
12°C或以下
91%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22℃或更高
93%
22℃或更高 93%
12°C或以下 91%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
12°C或以下
91%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22℃或更高
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus points to a mild overnight low near 18–20°C for Jinan on September 5, driven by clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of early September in Shandong.** Multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Moji, Met Office, and AccuWeather, consistently project daytime highs of 30–32°C and nighttime minima in that range under mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Radiative cooling will be moderate given dew points around 15–18°C and light winds under 5 m/s, limiting extreme drops. The near-even market odds on 12°C or below versus 22°C or higher likely reflect trader focus on tail risks—such as an unforecast cold surge or greater-than-expected mixing—rather than the central scientific guidance, which shows low uncertainty for this short-term period. New model runs and official updates overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题