Clear skies, light winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving significant nocturnal radiational cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below the historical average low of 18.1°C. Current model consensus from sources like AEMET-aligned forecasts and European guidance shows daytime highs near 32–33°C dropping sharply overnight, with several runs indicating minima of 14–15°C (around 58°F) by early morning due to the city's 650 m elevation and large diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent persistence of stable anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover has reinforced trader expectations for enhanced cooling, shifting implied probabilities toward 13–15°C outcomes (over 95% combined). No major model disagreements or incoming moisture appear in the latest runs, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日马德里最低气温？
8月30日马德里最低气温？
13°C or below 43%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
43%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C
15%
18°C
13%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
13°C or below 43%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
13°C or below
$7 交易量
43%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
15%
18°C
$0 交易量
13%
19°C
$0 交易量
14%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$5 交易量
3%
22°C
$5 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$276 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, light winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving significant nocturnal radiational cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below the historical average low of 18.1°C. Current model consensus from sources like AEMET-aligned forecasts and European guidance shows daytime highs near 32–33°C dropping sharply overnight, with several runs indicating minima of 14–15°C (around 58°F) by early morning due to the city's 650 m elevation and large diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent persistence of stable anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover has reinforced trader expectations for enhanced cooling, shifting implied probabilities toward 13–15°C outcomes (over 95% combined). No major model disagreements or incoming moisture appear in the latest runs, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$292结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, light winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving significant nocturnal radiational cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below the historical average low of 18.1°C. Current model consensus from sources like AEMET-aligned forecasts and European guidance shows daytime highs near 32–33°C dropping sharply overnight, with several runs indicating minima of 14–15°C (around 58°F) by early morning due to the city's 650 m elevation and large diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent persistence of stable anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover has reinforced trader expectations for enhanced cooling, shifting implied probabilities toward 13–15°C outcomes (over 95% combined). No major model disagreements or incoming moisture appear in the latest runs, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$292结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETClear skies, light winds, and dry air under high pressure are driving significant nocturnal radiational cooling in Madrid, positioning the lowest temperature on August 30 near or below the historical average low of 18.1°C. Current model consensus from sources like AEMET-aligned forecasts and European guidance shows daytime highs near 32–33°C dropping sharply overnight, with several runs indicating minima of 14–15°C (around 58°F) by early morning due to the city's 650 m elevation and large diurnal range typical of late-summer continental conditions. Recent persistence of stable anticyclonic weather with minimal cloud cover has reinforced trader expectations for enhanced cooling, shifting implied probabilities toward 13–15°C outcomes (over 95% combined). No major model disagreements or incoming moisture appear in the latest runs, though minor forecast revisions could still adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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