Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, with high humidity and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern, where dew points stay elevated near 24–25°C and winds remain light, underpins the near-even market split between outcomes above 31°C and at or below 21°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by localized convection rather than large-scale shifts, while historical September lows average around 25–26°C with occasional dips below 24°C under clearer skies. Traders are watching the next PAGASA bulletin and updated GFS/ECMWF runs for any changes in cloud cover or steering flow that could alter the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月24日马尼拉的最低温度？
21°C或以下 91%
31°C或更高 86%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
21°C或以下
91%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
20%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C或更高
86%
21°C或以下 91%
31°C或更高 86%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
91%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
38%
29°C
$0 交易量
38%
30°C
$0 交易量
38%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, with high humidity and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern, where dew points stay elevated near 24–25°C and winds remain light, underpins the near-even market split between outcomes above 31°C and at or below 21°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by localized convection rather than large-scale shifts, while historical September lows average around 25–26°C with occasional dips below 24°C under clearer skies. Traders are watching the next PAGASA bulletin and updated GFS/ECMWF runs for any changes in cloud cover or steering flow that could alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, with high humidity and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern, where dew points stay elevated near 24–25°C and winds remain light, underpins the near-even market split between outcomes above 31°C and at or below 21°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by localized convection rather than large-scale shifts, while historical September lows average around 25–26°C with occasional dips below 24°C under clearer skies. Traders are watching the next PAGASA bulletin and updated GFS/ECMWF runs for any changes in cloud cover or steering flow that could alter the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 24 will likely fall near 25–26°C amid the southwest monsoon and scattered thunderstorms, with high humidity and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This typical rainy-season pattern, where dew points stay elevated near 24–25°C and winds remain light, underpins the near-even market split between outcomes above 31°C and at or below 21°C. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by localized convection rather than large-scale shifts, while historical September lows average around 25–26°C with occasional dips below 24°C under clearer skies. Traders are watching the next PAGASA bulletin and updated GFS/ECMWF runs for any changes in cloud cover or steering flow that could alter the exact minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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