Recent official forecasts for Paris on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers, aligning with the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. A cooling trend from recent days, with measured minima around 16–17°C amid Atlantic-influenced air masses, supports these outcomes over warmer or colder extremes. Scientific factors differentiating the leaders include small differences in modeled nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity; clearer conditions could favor the lower end while persistent clouds limit drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August 31 averages near 13–14°C providing context but outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日巴黎最低气温？
8月31日巴黎最低气温？
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
15°C 18%
13°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
15%
13°C
17%
14°C
17%
15°C
18%
16°C
41%
17°C
49%
18°C
17%
19°C
17%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C或更高
15%
17°C 49%
16°C 41%
15°C 18%
13°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
15%
13°C
$0 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C
$0 交易量
18%
16°C
$16 交易量
41%
17°C
$4 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
17%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Paris on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers, aligning with the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. A cooling trend from recent days, with measured minima around 16–17°C amid Atlantic-influenced air masses, supports these outcomes over warmer or colder extremes. Scientific factors differentiating the leaders include small differences in modeled nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity; clearer conditions could favor the lower end while persistent clouds limit drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August 31 averages near 13–14°C providing context but outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Paris on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers, aligning with the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. A cooling trend from recent days, with measured minima around 16–17°C amid Atlantic-influenced air masses, supports these outcomes over warmer or colder extremes. Scientific factors differentiating the leaders include small differences in modeled nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity; clearer conditions could favor the lower end while persistent clouds limit drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August 31 averages near 13–14°C providing context but outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts for Paris on August 31 indicate overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and possible scattered showers, aligning with the tight market split between 16°C and 17°C. A cooling trend from recent days, with measured minima around 16–17°C amid Atlantic-influenced air masses, supports these outcomes over warmer or colder extremes. Scientific factors differentiating the leaders include small differences in modeled nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and boundary-layer humidity; clearer conditions could favor the lower end while persistent clouds limit drops. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August 31 averages near 13–14°C providing context but outweighed by current synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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