Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on April 30?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 交易量
$9,940 交易量
2026-04-30
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$9,940 交易量
$9,940 交易量
2026-04-30
5°C or below
$212 交易量
No
6°C
$304 交易量
No
7°C
$210 交易量
No
8°C
$290 交易量
No
9°C
$1,471 交易量
No
10°C
$2,662 交易量
Yes
11°C
$718 交易量
No
12°C
$717 交易量
No
13°C
$728 交易量
No
14°C
$2,052 交易量
No
15°C or higher
$574 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
交易量
$9,940结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,940结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 2:13 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models like ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on April 30 at exactly 10°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty with 100% implied probability on that outcome. Current observations confirm early-morning readings around 9–11°C under clear skies and light winds, consistent with late-April climatology where overnight lows typically range 10–13°C amid mild southerly flows and no active cold fronts. High-confidence model ensembles show minimal spread, with radiative cooling limited by urban heat island effects in the megacity. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly prolonged clear conditions enhancing surface cooling to dip below 9°C briefly before dawn, though official station data (e.g., Pudong Airport) will finalize resolution by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题