Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 24–25°C for Shanghai on September 25, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and dew points near 22–23°C that limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds reduce the chance of dropping to 23°C or below, while the absence of strong cold advection keeps values well above historical September averages around 20°C. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering of guidance, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations amid typical model spread of ±1°C in the final 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日上海最低气温?
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
26°C 25%
23°C 23%
19℃或以下
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
21%
23°C
23%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C或更高
23%
24°C 38%
25°C 29%
26°C 25%
23°C 23%
19℃或以下
20%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
21%
23°C
23%
24°C
38%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
22%
29°C或更高
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 24–25°C for Shanghai on September 25, driven by southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and dew points near 22–23°C that limit radiative cooling. Partly cloudy to overcast skies and light winds reduce the chance of dropping to 23°C or below, while the absence of strong cold advection keeps values well above historical September averages around 20°C. Trader consensus reflects this tight clustering of guidance, with resolution hinging on the official minimum recorded by local stations amid typical model spread of ±1°C in the final 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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