Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Shanghai's September 23 minimum will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could favor 22°C or 25°C. Traders weigh these against climatological September lows near 22°C and the high uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale details. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日上海最低气温？
9月23日上海最低气温？
18℃或以下 39%
28°C或更高 39%
25°C 35%
24°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
18℃或以下
39%
19°C
24%
20°C
24%
21°C
13%
22°C
17%
23°C
24%
24°C
34%
25°C
35%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C或更高
39%
18℃或以下 39%
28°C或更高 39%
25°C 35%
24°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
18℃或以下
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
24%
20°C
$0 交易量
24%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
17%
23°C
$42 交易量
24%
24°C
$42 交易量
34%
25°C
$0 交易量
35%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Shanghai's September 23 minimum will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could favor 22°C or 25°C. Traders weigh these against climatological September lows near 22°C and the high uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale details. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$84结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Shanghai's September 23 minimum will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could favor 22°C or 25°C. Traders weigh these against climatological September lows near 22°C and the high uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale details. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from numerical weather models indicate Shanghai's September 23 minimum will likely settle near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, supporting the market's leading outcomes at those levels. Persistent cloud cover limits nocturnal radiative cooling while moderate humidity and urban heat retention prevent sharper drops, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing or wind shifts could favor 22°C or 25°C. Traders weigh these against climatological September lows near 22°C and the high uncertainty in 48-hour mesoscale details. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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