Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on September 7 near 23–24°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy to clearing skies following light rain. Subtropical humidity and moderate wind speeds limit radiative cooling, while the absence of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus and recent observations of similar conditions on September 5–6 support trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor forecast variability in exact minimum timing and local effects. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these near-term probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日上海最低气温？
9月7日上海最低气温？
24°C 59%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
59%
25°C
23%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 23%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
$155 交易量
<1%
20°C
$155 交易量
<1%
21°C
$130 交易量
<1%
22°C
$534 交易量
5%
23°C
$1,212 交易量
17%
24°C
$1,300 交易量
59%
25°C
$678 交易量
23%
26°C
$240 交易量
4%
27°C
$130 交易量
<1%
28°C
$125 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on September 7 near 23–24°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy to clearing skies following light rain. Subtropical humidity and moderate wind speeds limit radiative cooling, while the absence of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus and recent observations of similar conditions on September 5–6 support trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor forecast variability in exact minimum timing and local effects. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these near-term probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,823结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on September 7 near 23–24°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy to clearing skies following light rain. Subtropical humidity and moderate wind speeds limit radiative cooling, while the absence of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus and recent observations of similar conditions on September 5–6 support trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor forecast variability in exact minimum timing and local effects. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these near-term probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,823结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's overnight low on September 7 near 23–24°C under northerly winds and partly cloudy to clearing skies following light rain. Subtropical humidity and moderate wind speeds limit radiative cooling, while the absence of strong cold advection or prolonged clear skies keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus and recent observations of similar conditions on September 5–6 support trader emphasis on the 24°C outcome at 57.5% implied probability, with 23°C and 25°C as secondary possibilities reflecting minor forecast variability in exact minimum timing and local effects. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these near-term probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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